Ever since Derek Jeter and his business partners purchased the Miami Marlins in August, there’s been plenty of talk of them looking to move Giancarlo Stanton. Jeter is a savvy businessman, so considering that one of the first things on the Marlins to-do-list since the sale of the team has been to move Stanton, it should say a thing or two about just how bad his contract is. One rumour floating around lately is that the Blue Jays should consider acquiring Stanton, and to that I say “please God no”.
Stanton is a wonderful power hitter, and for someone only turning 28 this November and coming off such a monster year, his salary is indeed justified. The problem with Stanton’s contract however, is that it goes for another 11 years, in which he’s owed $295 million over that time ($310 million if the team option is picked-up in the final year of the contract, which it won’t). It wouldn’t just be wishful thinking, but insanity to assume he’ll play like he did this season for the majority of such a lengthy contract. For an injury prone player like Stanton, you’d be lucky to get five more years even remotely close to the year he had in 2017.
There’s a reason teams are staying away from 10+ year contracts these days. There’s just too much evidence of these sort of contracts not working out. These decade long deals that seem like a good idea in the beginning, often end up becoming the worst contracts in baseball before they’re even half finished. Albert Pujols and Miguel Cabrera are perfect examples of this sort of thing…and although Stanton is still two years shy of turning 30, he’ll be just like what Pujols is now (that is if he’s lucky) 4-5 years down the road.
Toronto can’t afford to add another long-term contract that extends well into a players 30’s. The Blue Jays already have three players, Troy Tulowitzki, Russell Martin, and Kendrys Morales, who are under contract for several years to come and are making significantly more than they deserve. In addition to Toronto already having too many contracts committed to players past their prime, they’re also a team full of strikeout prone hitters, and don’t need yet another. Especially someone with one of the highest strikeout rates in all of baseball.
Stanton is a special player, but not so special that he deserves to be making $295 million over the next 11 years. With Tulowitzki, Martin, and Morales, Toronto’s already in the unfortunate, yet enlightening position of learning the hard way that you have to be careful when it comes to overpaying for players well into their 30’s. Because of the length and size of his contract, Stanton should be one of the last players in the league the Blue Jays should be thinking about bringing in.