Jay Bruce had a solid year in 2017 with 36 HR, 101 RBI. and a .254 AVG, but if he thinks he’s getting a contract anywhere close to $80-90 million over 5-years, think again.

Last off-season, most everyone figured Mark Trumbo was in line to earn a heck of a lot more than the 3-year, $37.5 million contract he ended up accepting from the Orioles.  What most people didn’t realize at the time was that front offices across the league had begun to have a change of heart.  As they finally came to their senses that power hitting, defensively limited, strikeout prone players are overrated and not worth anything close to the kind of money they were getting in the past.

Chris Davis and the Orioles have a lot to do with teams coming to this realization about power first type hitters.  In January of 2016, Davis, fresh off a 47-home run season signed a monster 7-year, $161 million contract that’s quickly become one of the worst deals in all of baseball.

After seeing power hitters such as Trumbo, Mike Napoli, Chris Carter, Edwin Encarnacion, and Mitch Moreland settle for far less money than they expected last off- season, why is it then that fellow power hitter Jay Bruce and his people are looking for something in the range of 5-years and $80-90 million?  Did Bruce already forget what happened just last off-season to players similar to himself, because if he did, he’s in for quite the surprise when he’s lucky to get half the $90 million he’s expecting to get.

Last year, a then 30-year old Trumbo was coming off a season where he hit for a .256 AVG, .316 OBP, and had 47 HR and 108 RBI.  After having such a huge year, at least when it comes to power numbers, Trumbo probably figured he’d hit the jackpot and was due to make some serious coin (much more serious than the $37.5 million he ended up taking).  But when late January 2017 rolled around, and Trumbo had still yet to sign, he realized he’d misread the market and ended up settling with Baltimore for whatever he could get.

In 2017, Bruce had very similar numbers to what Trumbo put-up in 2016.  This season, Bruce had a .254 AVG, .324 OBP, with 36 HR and 101 RBI.  It would be difficult to think of another two players more similar than Trumbo and Bruce.  So when I hear how much money Bruce is expecting to receive via free agency this off-season, and think back to what comparable free agents received just last year, it’s just funny that players/agents think they’re so much more valuable than they are simply because they hit a respectable number of home runs.

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